Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 45.486520 52.612893 59.977412 68.119384 76.833156 85.846688 95.842867
2026-02-01 34.240717 44.206334 55.077380 67.658290 81.671595 96.672450 113.821342
2026-02-08 27.738568 39.125441 52.076359 67.564726 85.289285 104.685883 127.278386
2026-02-15 22.429961 34.587160 48.985630 66.729960 87.520804 110.698356 138.109217
2026-02-22 19.159045 32.018731 47.796052 67.727678 91.522482 118.429593 150.617264
2026-03-01 16.637451 30.051524 47.060587 69.028453 95.680661 126.182191 163.015462
2026-03-08 13.626800 27.046841 44.733045 68.145579 97.049400 130.548052 171.397466
2026-03-15 10.860040 24.005107 42.076968 66.620256 97.453639 133.632764 178.166597
2026-03-22 10.033032 23.700966 42.970868 69.525901 103.211168 143.003215 192.231510
2026-03-29 8.871876 22.726736 42.850867 71.049203 107.208392 150.240600 203.770757
2026-04-05 7.247964 20.774043 41.216473 70.476575 108.506018 154.176149 211.366443
2026-04-12 5.865495 19.002130 39.692754 69.937624 109.759319 157.992976 218.768821
2026-04-19 4.869303 17.775171 38.896267 70.350100 112.228256 163.322245 228.037442
2026-04-26 3.794093 16.174722 37.413430 69.737533 113.324530 166.937515 235.235230
2026-05-03 2.988316 14.935020 36.378926 69.668282 115.065581 171.303034 243.301156
2026-05-10 2.188886 13.466321 34.852524 68.814669 115.715353 174.269735 249.640241
2026-05-17 1.780760 12.843170 34.656269 69.830157 118.807460 180.264339 259.646169
2026-05-24 1.467627 12.380530 34.688900 71.152679 122.293041 186.744465 270.242361
2026-05-31 0.974314 11.132011 33.258886 70.254989 122.755999 189.389245 276.125987
2026-06-07 0.548851 9.751621 31.453307 68.703808 122.269738 190.785571 280.439400
2026-06-14 0.512117 9.973010 32.614294 71.658478 127.932758 200.009113 294.405985
2026-06-21 0.393934 9.725397 32.864976 73.207111 131.664314 206.769232 305.335515
2026-06-28 0.202105 8.814206 31.764049 72.624990 132.434737 209.723732 311.545049